Buffalo will be a tough place to play as the Steelers visit the Bills in what is expected to still be a windy, snowy game Monday.
The Post’s Dylan Svoboda reported a nosediving weather forecast for this game, dropping the total from 43 to 35 projected points.
But moving the game to Monday has seen a slight rebound on the total, back up to 37 total points.
There will be snow showers throughout the game on Monday, with wind gusts around 10 mph.
This one is unlikely to be a shootout, as it is the lowest total among all wild card weekend games.
But the beauty of a lower total game means the player props projections will also coincide with smaller expectations for players.
On Saturday and Sunday, we had mixed results, barely achieving profitability off 1.34 units, but the record left much to be desired at 6-8.
The results put us at a still successful 52-68 record with 43.94 units of profit and a 36.62% ROI on the season.
Let’s pick our spots wisely in the Monday wild card matchup.
Steelers vs. Bills player props and picks
Josh Allen over 8.5 rush attempts (-120, BetRivers) | 15+ rushing attempts (10/1, Bet365)
Beware a painfully low number in this windy contest.
There’s still some cold weather and snow on the horizon in Buffalo as shovelers attempt to prepare the stadium for a huge playoff game.
This is where your bets go all-in on running, and Josh Allen is a wrecking ball when he’s got a full head of steam.
Look for both teams to play some old-school style football where they lean on the run game from start to finish.
Allen ran 15 times against the Dolphins in Week 18, so we know it’s possible that Allen takes the game into his own hands Monday.
Jaylen Warren 75+ receiving + rushing yards (+215, Bet365) | 125+ (15/1, Bet365)
Jaylen Warren has become a bit of an enigma to bet on as his receiving prowess continues to improve and gain more involvement.
The Steelers should look to use Warren in a variety of ways and Bet365’s oddsmakers have some tasty value on the duel threat.
Warren has been a cash cow this year while receiving, snagging at least three receptions in 14 of 17 games.
Betting on the NFL?
Buffalo is 27th in the league in receiving yards allowed to opposing running backs and 25th in yards per carry allowed.
This is the only way for the Steelers to keep it close. Expect them to do so this weekend.
NEWS CREDIT
