Birkenstock’s billion-dollar bet to go public


As a youngster in the 1980s, I eagerly awaited the summer season, when our unglamorous resort town in eastern Greece would be inundated by hordes of tourists clad in Birkenstocks.

The Germans would always pair them with a pair of white socks, while the French would go sockless. 

In a country where you don’t even take the trash out unless you’re properly dressed, we loved making fun of Birkenstock wearers for their lack of “good taste.”

Today, however, the joke is on me.

Nearly three decades — and four pairs of my own Birkenstocks later —  the legendary sandal company is set to go public on the New York Stock Exchange.

And as a professor of luxury marketing with a focus on heritage brands, I’m paying close attention to how things turn out. 

In my position, I regularly delve into the specifics of companies like Birkenstock to understand and explain their staying power.

Such companies typically possess a handful of common denominators.


Birkenstock has been made by the same company in the same place using the same materials since the late 18th century.
Shutterstock

Birkenstocks is set to go public on the New York Stock Exchange.
Birkenstocks is set to go public on the New York Stock Exchange.
DPA/AFP via Getty Images

They often originate in Europe (Birkenstock is German); and have a long history under similar management (Birkenstock was family-owned from 1774 until 2021 when the private equity firm L Catterton acquired a majority stake in the brand); never moved from their original place of manufacturing (Birkenstock has long called the tiny village of Hammersbach, near Frankfurt, home); possess a proprietary production method that links heritage to innovation (Birkenstocks have always been made with the same cork, leather and jute combo that incorporate both timeless appeal and necessary innovation); and are distributed, like Birkenstock, within a certain limited capacity.

While I’ll spare you the lecture, it’s safe to say that Birkenstock — despite its “crunchy” reputation – firmly exists within this “luxury business model.”

It’s a hard-to-pinpoint distinction that explains the baffling reversal of a fundamental law of economics, namely the law of supply and demand.

While heightened demand should prompt companies to increase supply, the formula is reversed in the luxury sector.

Here, heritage brands either purposely maintain their products’ scarcity or create a perceived scarcity that only increases consumer desire.

And such has become the case with Birkenstock.

Desire is what luxury sells.

And no one understands both consumer desire and how to respond to it quite like Bernard Arnault — the world’s richest person, head of luxury conglomerate LVMH, and owner of L Catterton, which invests in fancy consumer brands.

Birkenstock understood the advantage of selling a stake to L Catterton because it knows how to make popular and desirable companies even more popular and desirable.

They’re two adjectives that work best in the luxury arena even if many buyers don’t necessarily view Birkenstocks as a luxury product. 

But luxury isn’t solely about price – but also about dreams and aspirations.

And Birkenstock has proven highly aspirational over the past few seasons.


Birkenstock began to upgrade their "crunchy" image via posh partnerships with high-fashion brand such as Dior (above).
Birkenstock began to upgrade its “crunchy” image via posh partnerships with high-fashion brands such as Dior (above).
DIOR

First, they wisely partnered with high-fashion brands such as Dior and Proenza Schouler.

Then, last year, hip creatives began clamoring for Birkenstocks’ comfy Boston model — which saw its price surge nearly threefold on the resale market.

A few months later, a pair of Birkenstocks owned and worn by Steve Jobs sold for $220,000 at auction.


Birkenstock understood the advantage of selling a stake to L Catterton because it knows how to make popular and desirable companies even more popular and desirable.
Birkenstock understood the advantage of selling a stake to L Catterton because it knows how to make popular and desirable companies even more popular and desirable.
Birkenstock

Then this past summer, Birkenstock got a massive dose of pop-culture cred when their Arizona Big Buckle Nubuck Leather Sandal was worn by Barbie in the eponymous big-screen hit (they were pink, of course).

They’re the type of organic marketing wins that companies like L Catterton want to see before they take a company like Birkenstock public. 

L Catterton paid a hefty $4.9 billion for their majority share in Birkenstock.


Private equity firm L Catterton snapped up a majority share of Birkenstock for $4.9 billion in 2021 — they hope to see the firm score a valuation of upwards of $8 billion on the New York Stock Exchange.
Private equity firm L Catterton snapped up a majority share of Birkenstock for $4.9 billion in 2021 — they hope to see the firm score a valuation of upwards of $8 billion on the New York Stock Exchange.

But the price made sense because it included centuries of proven confidence in both the brand’s backstory and the product itself.

Less than three years later, L Catterton has spoken of an $8 billion valuation for Birkenstock when it goes public this fall — a tidy profit and a smart bet on the enduring value of heritage and quality that other privately held firms can learn from. 

But here’s the catch: Investors in newly listed companies often demand such high returns that brands are moving away from the formula that made them so desirable in the first place — authenticity and exclusivity.


Birkenstock scored a big dose of pop-culture street cred when one of their styles appeared in the Barbie firm this past summer.
Birkenstock scored a big dose of pop-culture street cred when one of their styles appeared in the Barbie firm this past summer.
AP

Managers adopt cost-cutting strategies that lead to sloppy production, market oversaturation, and brand dilution.

Such was the case with Coach, which saw its value tumble after it went public in 2000.

Same with Tiffany, another luxury jewel eventually rescued by LVMH after a few difficult decades as a publicly traded company.

If this becomes the fate of Birkenstock after its IPO, then the share price will tank and its sandals become tasteless — whether worn with or without white socks. 

Thomai Serdari is a professor of marketing and director of the Fashion and Luxury MBA Program at the Leonard N. Stern School of Business at New York University



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